Interactive Analysis

You Put In the Work.
Here's What the Data Shows.

4,212 posts. 3,303 creators. Three editions with $300K in prizes. We scraped every submission and ran the numbers so you can see exactly what separated the winners from everyone else.

The Playing Field

How big was this, really?

Most people have no idea how many others they were up against. Before you ask why you didn't win, start here: the field was enormous and the community was real.

4,212
Posts submitted across all editions
3,303
Unique creators who showed up
1 in 155
Odds of winning any prize
$300K
Total prize pool across 3 editions
Sep 2025 (8 days)
1,771 posts from 1,406 creators
Winners averaged 69 likes
Non-winners averaged 4 likes
Mar 2026 (44 days)
1,495 posts from 1,239 creators
Winners averaged 55 likes
Non-winners averaged 9 likes
Config 2026 (15 days)
946 posts from 658 creators
Winners averaged 47 likes
Non-winners averaged 9 likes
The Baseline

Getting fewer than 10 likes? So did most people.

Before you judge your own submission by its like count, see what everyone else got. Engagement was heavily skewed. A handful of posts took most of the attention. The chart below shows what percentage of posts fell into each likes tier, per edition.

Color = edition.Sep 2025Mar 2026Config 2026

Sep 2025 (8-day window)
36% of posts got zero likes
49% got 1 to 5 likes
Only 3% got more than 50
Short window = less time to spread
Mar 2026 (44-day window)
2% got zero likes
54% got 1 to 5 likes
5% got more than 50
Longer window meant more community circulation
Config 2026 (15-day window)
4% got zero likes
65% got 1 to 5 likes
3% got more than 50
Most competitive distribution of the three
The Gap

Winners didn't just build better. They posted differently.

Across all three editions, winning posts averaged 7.7 times more likes than non-winning posts. That gap isn't about luck. The scatter below shows every post in the contest window.Green stars are winners. Gray dots are everyone else. Hover any point for details.

WinnersNon-Winners

Did posting earlier give winners an edge?

In Sep 2025's 8-day sprint, winners posted at day 5.4 on average versus day 6.2 for non-winners. That half-day head start let engagement compound before the window closed. In longer editions (Mar 2026: 44 days, Config 2026: 15 days), timing was nearly identical between winners and non-winners. Early posting only matters when the window is short.

Winner quick facts
54.4avg winner likes (cross-edition)
7.1avg non-winner likes
217Cara Ellis (Sep 2025 $50K) likes
23Bene Brandhofer (Config $50K) likes

The wide range (217 vs 23) shows that high engagement correlates with winning, but is not a requirement. The Config 2026 grand prize went to the best interaction design, not the most-liked post.

The Format

Should you have posted a video? Almost certainly yes.

The single most consistent difference between winners and non-winners across all three editions was whether the post included a video demo. A working video proves the interaction is real. It reduces skepticism. It gets shared.

Winners with VideoNon-Winners with Video

Sep 2025
Winners with video: 40%
Non-winners with video: 7.5%
5x more likely to win with a video
Mar 2026
Winners with video: 90%
Non-winners with video: 56%
By March 2026, video was the norm
Config 2026
Winners with video: 67%
Non-winners with video: 59%
Gap narrows when video is everywhere
Did cross-posting to X, LinkedIn, or Instagram matter?

In Sep 2025 and Mar 2026, cross-posting made a small difference. By Config 2026, it jumped: winners averaged 1.2 social platforms versus0.4 for non-winners. That is not a coincidence. Config 2026 added a "Build In Public" award category that explicitly rewarded public documentation of your process across platforms. If you are entering the next contest, check whether a "Build In Public" category exists before deciding how much to share.

Sep 2025: winners 0.2 platforms, non-winners 0.1
Mar 2026: winners 0.9 platforms, non-winners 0.5
Config 2026: winners 1.2 platforms, non-winners 0.4
The Judging

Were the judges watching your posts? We checked.

One of the most common questions after not placing: did the judges even see my work? We loaded the full comment threads for three winner posts to find out.

Finding: Zero judge comments on any winner post.

We checked three winner posts directly: Cara Ellis's Web Poetry (Sep 2025, $50K, 217 likes), Lee Black's Airwwave (March 2026, Boundary Pushing, 222 likes), and Bene Brandhofer's Visual Atlas (Config 2026, $50K Grand Prize, 23 likes). Not a single Contra staff member or judge commented on any of them before the winners were announced.

This means you cannot reverse-engineer who will win by watching for judge engagement. It also means the absence of a judge comment on your post tells you nothing. Judging happens entirely off-platform. The winners were selected based on project quality reviewed externally, not on how much attention their Contra posts received from the Contra team.

Cara Ellis: Web Poetry
217 likes, 20 community comments
0 staff or judge comments
Lee Black: Airwwave
222 likes, 90 comments. Lee replied to 80%+ himself.
0 staff or judge comments
Bene Brandhofer: Visual Atlas
23 likes, 8 community comments
0 staff or judge comments

What did Contra staff actually post?

Staff posts were entirely broadcasts: kick-off announcements, judging criteria clarifications, and winner reveals. Gui Seiz's March 2026 winner reveal reached 91,802 impressions, making it the most-viewed post across all three editions. Staff posts generated conversation (comments, replies) but were not engagement with individual submissions.

Staff includes: Gui Seiz (Contra CEO), Jan Mráz, Galaxia Wu, Sabrina Polanco, Daniela Muntyan. Staff posts are announcements, winner reveals, and community updates — not submissions. Reply/comment interactions are not shown (require post-level API calls).

Sep 2025
Galaxia Wu's kick-off post reached 47K+ impressions. Gui Seiz posted judge introductions. All staff posts were announcements.
Mar 2026
Gui Seiz's winner reveal: 91,802 impressions. The community found out through Contra, not through individual post engagement.
Config 2026
Jan Mráz posted three criteria and update posts (15K to 26K impressions each). Staff posts clustered on day 1 and after day 14.
The Brief

Did winners actually read the judging criteria?

Each edition had published judging criteria. We looked at whether winner posts reflected those criteria in their language and project framing, and whether the criteria evolved between editions in ways that changed what it takes to win.

Engagement score vs posting day, across all editions

Green stars are winner posts. The cluster of high-engagement winners above the cloud shows that engagement and judging quality are correlated, but they are not the same thing. Several non-winners in the top-right (high engagement, late posting) did not place.

Sep 2025
Criteria: Novelty, interaction quality, use of Figma's prototyping tools
What winners did: Cara Ellis built something no one had seen before (web-based generative poetry with handwriting). Johannes Specht solved a real trip-planning problem with elegant interaction. Both posts showed working prototypes and explained what was novel about their approach.
Mar 2026
Criteria: Craft, originality, interaction design, audience fit
What winners did: Charlota Blunárová's Common Thread and Lee Black's Airwwave both had exceptional craft AND community appeal. Kiel Cole's Tokyo, Dann Petty's Reframe It, and others won in specific categories they clearly wrote to. Category alignment was explicit in their posts.
Config 2026
New categories added: Build In Public, Innovative Workflow, Community Favorite
What winners did: Halle Clark (Still Here) won Build In Public with the fewest likes of any winner (8). She documented her process publicly across platforms. Bene Brandhofer won the grand prize with 23 likes. Likes did not decide Config 2026. Criteria fit did.
The one thing the criteria consistently rewarded

Every edition rewarded posts that clearly demonstrated a working interaction, explained what was novel about the approach, and showed that the creator understood what the contest was asking for. Winners who had high engagement also tended to have posts that were clear, shareable, and community-forward. Winners who had low engagement (like Halle Clark and Bene Brandhofer) were category-specific and criteria-precise. The through line: match your submission to the specific category you are entering, not just to the general idea of the contest.

Additional Charts

Supplementary comparisons for deeper exploration.

Median Metrics: Winners vs Non-Winners

Median values for posting day, engagement score, and social platform count.